• Climate

    El Nino – Am I A Prophet?

    I’m putting this on the blog rather than on Facebook (though it will get mirrored) because Facebook is too ephemeral. I want to be able to come back and find it if I’m right. And if I’m wrong, I want to be accountable in that others can come back and…

  • Climate - Science Stuff

    Up Here’s For Thinkin’

    Here’s a graph I made and posted here a while ago: The post in question is here: http://www.bravus.com.au/blog/?p=1911 Sorry about the lack of labels – x-axis is years, y-axis is million square km of Antarctic sea ice. These data are for Antarctica, but the Arctic picture is similar. Why do…

  • Climate

    If the science won’t convince ’em, maybe the economics will

    Small-minded, isolationist policies just won’t work. If Australia doesn’t move (or moves backward, as T. Abbott plans but likely can’t deliver), there is sufficient political will internationally to introduce tariff mechanisms to force the issue. Better to be masters of our own destiny. http://www.couriermail.com.au/news/opinion/sceptics-lose-focus-on-climate-change-big-picture/story-e6frerc6-1226579070344

  • Climate - Politics

    I don’t believe in Gaia theory

    … the notion that the biosphere, or even the earth, as a whole can be considered as a single great organism. Some versions of it even credit Gaia with a sort of consciousness. But one could be forgiven for seeing Hurricane Sandy, aka Sandy-Athena, aka Frankenstorm, as a note: Um,…

  • Climate

    Follow the Evidence

    http://www.salon.com/news/global_warming/index.html?story=/tech/htww/2011/04/01/climate_skeptics_betrayal It’ll be very interesting to see Muller’s results when they’re published, but the strong concurrence between a whole new data set and the three already showing warming (NASA, NOAA and HadCRUT) is pretty telling.

  • Climate - Philosophy - Science Stuff

    Truth and the Postmodernist

    I’ve talked about myself as a postmodernist here, claiming that all grand narratives (meaning frameworks) can be deconstructed in terms of their internal logic, and therefore truths are contingent, situated in time and place and culture, rather than absolute. (Or, slightly more carefully, that if absolute truths exist we have…

  • Climate - Politics - Religion

    Dammit

    Conservative Christians tend not to believe in climate change. But they do believe extreme climate events are Signs of the End. Cannot freakin’ win with these people. THE WORLD can’t win. REALITY can’t win.

  • Climate

    Where’s the climate change?

    Well, it’s where it always was: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yDTUuckNHgc (YouTube video, about 9 min) I’ve posted one of these ‘Climate Change Crocks of the Week’ before, and this one – from January 2010 – is just as informative. By way of update, 2010 is on track to be the warmest year ever,…

  • Climate

    Bad News and Good News

    First, one of the candidates for Australian Prime Minister – election coming up this Saturday – believes warming has stopped: http://www.theage.com.au/federal-election/abbotts-climate-doubts-20100816-126xm.html I’m not a one-issue voter, and there are plenty of other reasons to oppose him anyway, but this level of plain disconnect from reality in itself disqualifies him for…

  • Climate

    Latest review of the scientific consensus on climate change

    There was a good review done a few years ago by Naomi Oreskes about climate scientists’ views in relation to climate change. Here’s the newest one, published this month: http://www.pnas.org/content/107/27/12107. Conclusion? “Here, we use an extensive dataset of 1,372 climate researchers and their publication and citation data to show that…

  • Climate - Science Stuff - Technology

    Energy Futures

    (repurposed forum post) Finally got around to the promised post on energy solutions and futures. First up, even if we leave aside the issue of climate change entirely, fossil fuels are finite resources. (Barring a few fantasies about endless renewal from currently on-going natural processes (someone posted a link on…

  • Climate

    School is in

    (sorry – 4th climate post in a row – all loosely linked) So, this guy says: Global Warming? New Data Shows Ice Is Back Tuesday, February 19, 2008 11:55 AM By: Phil Brennan Are the world’s ice caps melting because of climate change, or are the reports just a lot…

  • Climate

    Serious Stuff (and a little silliness from me)

    A story from the Courier Mail newspaper: Dire climate change warning to Australia. Co-chair of the three-day conference, and director of the National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility, Jean Palutikof, said science tells us climate change is happening faster than we thought. Professor Palutikof warned the window to adapt and…

  • Climate - General

    Publicola sums it up

    ‘Publicola’, a commentator on the Salon web site, talking about some of the defiant climate skeptic responses to the story I posted below, sums up the evidence nicely: Reality: The Earth has warmed significantly over recent decades, to what may be the highest level in 2,000 years or more. Anthropogenic…